James Lovelock and Chernobyl: anecdotal versus empirical evidence
A couple of weeks ago we talked about eminent environmentalist James Lovelock and his idea for burying nuclear waste in the rainforests because…
One of the striking things about places heavily contaminated by radioactive nuclides is the richness of their wildlife…
He was at it again in the UK’s Observer newspaper last weekend…
Nuclear is the answer. Far, far less dangerous than any propagandist has ever pretended. Look, even now, at the wildlife all around Chernobyl! Because man and his pets have not been near for years!
We’d really like to know where Lovelock gets his information because well… Let’s hand you over to Messrs Møller, Mousseau, de Lope and N Saino, and their paper ‘Anecdotes and empirical research in Chernobyl’…
[JT] Smith suggested, based on two-page reports, that animal populations are thriving in Chernobyl (e.g. Baker & Chesser 2000). These reports provide anecdotal evidence with no information on methods or empirical findings. Although animals and plants can be censused using standard, rigorous methodology (e.g.Bibby et al. 2005), surprisingly, the first large-scale censuses of any living organism were conducted by us during 2006–2007, 20 years after the disaster, showing reduced population densities of most species of birds in contaminated areas (Møller & Mousseau 2007a,b). If we classify species as farmland and otherwise, we find no evidence for farmland species having different slopes between abundance and radiation when compared with other species (F1,78=0.0003, p=0.99), providing no support for Smith's suggestion.
Why has there been no concerted effort to monitor the long-term effects of Chernobyl on free-living organisms and humans? The official reports by IAEA, WHO and UNDP were narrative renditions of parts of the literature, and these reports, with Smith as co-author, concluded that Chernobyl was a thriving ecosystem with increasing populations of animals (Chernobyl Forum 2005; EGE 2005), despite no census data existing. Scientific enquiry depends on rigorous analysis of data rather than rendition of anecdotal evidence.
There has been ‘no concerted effort to monitor the long-term effects of Chernobyl on free-living organisms and humans’. So again, where is Lovelock getting his information? Are his assertions a ‘rendition of anecdotal evidence’ or built on large-scale censuses using ‘standard, rigorous methodology’? If it’s the latter, we’d really like to see the data.

Comments
I don't have time to do tons of internet digging right now, but your post reminded me of something from a few years back.
I saw similar articles in a number of locations, but I'll link to the FOX News one. (yeah, I know, it's FOX, but bear with me).
The article tells the Happy Fun Story of how the wildlife around Chernobyl is "thriving":
... but it also tells the other, more realistic side:
Now, the reason I linked to that article is because it mentions Baker's research.
If you follow the money on him, you'll see that his Chernobyl research was funded by none other than the US Department of Energy. Yeah, you know, the folks in charge of the nuclear complex as well as nuclear waste storage and the issues surrounding that.
So, my point is, if you're really bored, dig around a bit and see who funded any of the researchers saying everything is healthy, happy, and dandy in the Chernobyl exclusion zone. You might find some interesting stuff.
Posted by: Page van der Linden | August 11, 2009 5:51 PM