November 17, 2007

IPCC latest - climate change evidance "unequivocal"

Last night in Valencia, the IPCC approved its Fourth Assessment Synthesis report, which sums up the key points from the three major reports published this year on climate change science, its impacts and the mitigation options. It will be the key reference document for policymakers in the coming years. (Should be anyway, unfortunately not all politicians like 'fact based' decision making.)

The IPCC is a pretty careful, conservative body, so there were no big surprises. (Our press release is here.) But the message behind these reports is becoming increasingly blunt. From the New York Times:

Members of the panel said their review of the data led them to conclude as a group and individually that reductions in greenhouse gasses had to start immediately to avert a global climate disaster that could leave island states submerged and abandoned, African crop yields decreased by 50 percent, and cause over a 5 percent decrease in global gross domestic product.

The panel, which was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize last month, said the world would have to reverse the growth of greenhouse gas emissions by 2015 to avert major problems.

"If there’s no action before 2012, that’s too late," said Rajendra Pachauri, a scientist and economist who heads the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. "What we do in the next two to three years will determine our future. This is the defining moment."

He said that since the panel began its work five years ago, scientists have recorded "much stronger trends in climate change,” like a recent melting of polar ice that had not been predicted. "That means you better start with intervention much earlier."

Clear enough for you?

Comments

let's be participate to save our world by support the UN Climate Change Conference on December 2007 will be held in Bali, Indonesia.
I made a blog about in, please just visit http://bali-climate-change-conference.blogspot.com/

im from india and let me tell all this concern for clmate change is nothing but a secret war of west to keep us poor and from progressing it is a sophisticated war ,
u r worried about the healthof the planet but not of the more 3.5 million indian children who die from hunger every year ,

while the europeans party on their yatchs go surfing snowboarding dope up

basically its a well designed war to deprive the poor of india china africa any progress all in the name of god know s what
sometimes its human rights in iraq or sudan

europeans dont care baout our people they only worried about their own well being
\
so bring in health of the planet which only rich should enjjoy while our kids die hungry starving

what bullshit and nonsense but u r getting away with it bcoz of our stooges who r serving betraying their own people

im from india and let me tell all this concern for clmate change is nothing but a secret war of west to keep us poor and from progressing it is a sophisticated war ,
u r worried about the healthof the planet but not of the more 3.5 million indian children who die from hunger every year ,

while the europeans party on their yatchs go surfing snowboarding dope up

basically its a well designed war to deprive the poor of india china africa any progress all in the name of god know s what
sometimes its human rights in iraq or sudan

europeans dont care baout our people they only worried about their own well being
\
so bring in health of the planet which only rich should enjjoy while our kids die hungry starving

what nonsense but u r getting away with it bcoz of our stooges who r serving betraying their own people

2 Comments - #1, in response to Arjun, wow. What a terrible way to feel - there is absolutely no pride in the conspicuous consumption that some Americans find it acceptable to engage in. There is a lot, not enough, but a lot of shame for my fellow Americans who would be so short sighted and ignorant as to continue to engage in their selfish behavior. This is in no way a war on the East, rather, a full admission that American needs to LEAD the way on reducing CO2 emissions first. Those of us pushing to see this happen understand that entirely, and have as much concern as you do for the behavior of those that are not part of the solution.

The second comment is that the new IPCC report also mentions that our carbon sinks have reached a "saturation" point where we are absorbing less CO2 than we previously were, accelerating the problem. I think that this is really more urgent than anybody has thoughts, and truly requires people to take some action, NOW, to make sure we stop this.

Godspeed to the participants at the Bali Climate Meeting in the effort to do the world's most vital work..............

From my perspective, we have a remarkably large and loud number of people, many of them are our leaders, who are denialists and naysayers with regard to the science of global warming. They have been doing what they are doing now during much of my adult life. What they are saying and doing, I suppose, is derived from one form or another of self-interested-thinking. At least one consequence of their widely shared and consensually validated way of viewing the world could lead the human community into danger. Let me say more now about what I mean.

Self-interested-thinking is potentially dangerous because it serves to hide the truth of global warming, among other things, as well as "poison the well" of public discourse regarding climate change.

Too many of our politicians, economists, big-business benefactors and the talking heads in the mass media are all "whistling the same tune." What is even worse is the way they entice many appointees and surrogates to whistle that same tune, too. After all, who can resist offerings of great wealth, power and privileges that accrue to those who go along with one's self-interests, with whatsoever is political convenient, economically expedient, religiously tolerated and socially agreeable. In the face of such temptation, we can readily understand why the scientific gains of the IPCC would be everywhere, in every way, rejected by the denialists and naysayers. The science from the IPCC could forcefully impede their acquisition of more wealth, more power and more privileges.

Not only are too many leaders trying to hide or otherwise deny the good scientific evidence of human-driven climate change, they are also actively involved in poisoning the well of public discourse by strategically disseminating disinformation. And for what? Evermore power, wealth and privileges for themselves and their minions so they can carefreely play out the "conspicuous consumption fantasies" of their "Me Generation" by living large and unsustainably, come what may, having forsaken the future of their children and forgotten how human life depends upon Earth's limited resources and frangible ecosystem services for its very existence.

It seems to me that the human community has reached a crossroads in Bali, Indonesia, December 2007: EITHER we will choose to "stay the current course" of endless economic growth, ever increasing conspicuous per capita consumption and skyrocketing human population numbers OR we will find other ways to go forward. If these distinctly human overproduction, over-consumption and overpopulation activities we see overspreading the surface of Earth are unsustainable, then I am going to suppose we will insist upon some changes in our behavioral repertoire so that sustainable ways of living in the world are proposed by policymakers and adopted by our leaders.

With thanks to all Bali delegates,

Steve

Steven Earl Salmony
AWAREness Campaign on The Human Population
http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/">http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/">http://sustainabilitysoutheast.org/